周五,Ibovespa指数小幅上涨,收于122521点,对中国敏感的股市上涨抵消了围绕巴西央行的鹰派预期带来的压力。淡水河谷领涨,上涨1.3%,受对中国工业活动的乐观情绪推动,预计1月份中国工业活动将连续第四个月扩张。这反过来又提高了对巴西铁矿石等出口产品的需求预期,铁矿石是淡水河谷的重要收入来源。然而,对美中贸易紧张局势的持续担忧,特别是对中国进口商品征收新关税的可能性,给全球贸易前景蒙上了阴影,并给出口商带来了不确定性。在国内,巴西持续的财政挑战继续放大了信贷风险,混合增长和投资信号几乎没有为巴西资产提供喘息的机会。Ibovespa指数本周收盘小幅上涨。
The Ibovespa edged up slightly to close at 122,521 on Friday, as gains in China-sensitive equities offset pressure from hawkish expectations surrounding the Brazilian central bank. Vale led the advance, rising 1.3%, driven by optimism surrounding China's industrial activity, which is forecast to expand for the fourth consecutive month in January. This, in turn, lifted expectations for demand for Brazilian exports like iron ore, a critical revenue source for Vale. However, lingering concerns over US-China trade tensions, particularly the potential for new tariffs on Chinese imports, clouded the global trade outlook and raised uncertainties for exporters. Domestically, Brazil’s ongoing fiscal challenges continued to amplify credit risks, and mixed growth and investment signals provided little respite for Brazilian assets. The Ibovespa ended the week with modest gains.