2024年10月,乌克兰国家银行(NBU)将其关键政策利率维持在13%,在持续的通货膨胀和俄罗斯持续战争的经济压力下连续第三次保持稳定。9月份通货膨胀率同比攀升至8.6%,10月份继续上升,原因是收成不佳、生产成本上升和格里夫纳贬值导致食品价格上涨。国家统计局预计,在货币政策、全球价格压力减弱和能源改善的支持下,通货膨胀率将在2024年底达到9.7%的峰值,并从2025年春季开始下降。尽管面临劳动力短缺和能源中断等挑战,但预计2024年国内生产总值将增长4%,2025-2026年将增长4.3%至4.6%,这得益于国际货币基金组织、世界银行的国际融资以及俄罗斯冻结资产担保的潜在贷款。
The National Bank of Ukraine (NBU) maintained its key policy rate at 13% in October 2024, holding steady for a third consecutive meeting amid persistent inflation and economic strain from Russia's ongoing war. Inflation climbed to 8.6% year-on-year in September and continued to rise in October, driven by higher food prices from poor harvests, rising production costs, and the hryvnia’s depreciation. The NBU anticipates inflation peaking at 9.7% by the end of 2024, with a decline starting in spring 2025, supported by monetary policy, softer global price pressures, and energy improvements. Despite challenges, including labor shortages and energy disruptions, GDP growth is forecast at 4% for 2024, with 4.3% to 4.6% growth in 2025–2026, supported by international financing from the IMF, World Bank, and potential loans secured by frozen Russian assets.