锡 (Tin) 加自选

一项初步估计显示，新加坡2024年第四季度经季节性调整的失业率为1.9%，与第三季度持平，仍处于2023年第二季度以来的最低水平。紧缩有所增加（第三季度为3600比3050），但仍保持在非衰退水平。制造业和服务业的裁员人数有所增加，但建筑业的裁员相对稳定。总就业增长大幅放缓（8700比22300），居民和非居民就业放缓。尽管如此，就业人数仍高于2023年第四季度（3900人）。2024年全年，失业率从之前的1.9%微升至2.0%。总裁员人数下降（12930人对14590人），各行业没有明显上升。企业重组是裁员的主要原因，而不是部门衰退或企业倒闭。与此同时，受非居民就业急剧放缓的拖累，就业增长放缓（45500对78800）。由于全球逆风和市场波动，今年的总就业人数可能会进一步放缓。

Singapore’s seasonally adjusted unemployment rate stood at 1.9% in Q4 of 2024, keeping the same pace as in Q3 and remaining at its lowest since Q2 of 2023, a flash estimate showed. Retrenchment increased (3,600 vs 3,050 in Q3) but stayed around non-recession levels. Lay-offs rose in the manufacturing and services sectors but were relatively stable in construction. Total employment growth slowed sharply (8,700 vs 22,300), with resident and non-resident employment easing. Still, employment was higher than in Q4 of 2023 (3,900). For the full 2024, the jobless rate edged up to 2.0% from the prior 1.9%. Total lay-offs fell (12,930 vs 14,590), with no notable rises across sectors. Business restructuring was the main reason for lay-offs, rather than sectoral downturns or business closures. Meantime, employment growth slowed (45,500 vs 78,800), dragged by a sharp slowdown in non-resident employment. Total Employment for this year may ease further, due to global headwinds and market volatility.

2024年12月，新加坡制造业产量同比增长10.6%，超过了市场预期的6.4%的增长，尽管与上个月修订后的10.8%的增长相比略有放缓。精密工程的产量继续增长（11月为3.9%对2.3%），而生物医学制造业（9.4%对-23.9%）、化学品（3.1%对-1.1%）、运输工程（16%对-0.3%）和一般制造业（3.7%对-2.8%）的产量强劲反弹。与此同时，电子产品的产量增长速度较慢（14.3%对31.3%）。经季节性调整的月度数据显示，12月制造业产出下降0.7%，低于市场预测的1.2%的跌幅，但扭转了11月修正后的1.7%的涨幅。2024年全年的产量比2023年高出4.3%。

Singapore’s manufacturing production rose by 10.6% year-on-year in December 2024, exceeding market expectations of a 6.4% growth, although it moderated slightly from a revised 10.8% increase in the previous month. Production continued to expand for precision engineering (3.9% vs 2.3% in November), while rebounding strongly for biomedical manufacturing (9.4% vs -23.9%), chemicals (3.1% vs -1.1%), transport engineering (16% vs -0.3%), and general manufacturing industries (3.7% vs -2.8%). Meanwhile, output for electronics grew at a slower pace (14.3% vs 31.3%). On a seasonally adjusted monthly basis, manufacturing output decreased by 0.7% in December, less than market forecasts of a 1.2% drop but reversing a revised 1.7% gain in November. For the full year of 2024, output was 4.3% higher compared to 2023.

2024年11月，马来西亚主要经济指数环比上涨1.1%，从10月份下调0.1%的跌幅强劲反弹。这是自7月以来的首次积极读数，该指数的七个组成部分中有五个公布了积极结果：制造业的预期销售值（0.3%对-0.04%）、马来西亚证券交易所工业指数（0.2%对-0.2%）、实际货币供应量（0.2%对0.03%）以及其他基本贵金属和有色金属的实际进口量（0.1%对0.03%）。与此同时，批准的住房数量（-0.2%对-0.1%）和新公司数量（-0.1%对0.2%）均表现不佳。每年，领先指数上涨2.5%，快于10月份1.5%的涨幅。与此同时，衡量当前整体经济表现的重合指数在10月份上涨0.6%后，几乎停滞在0.03%。

Malaysia’s leading economic index increased by 1.1% month-on-month in November 2024, strongly rebounding from a downwardly revised 0.1% decline in October. It was the first positive reading since July, with five out of seven components of the index posting positive results: the expected sales value for manufacturing (0.3% vs -0.04%), the Bursa Malaysia Industrial Index (0.2% vs -0.2%), real money supply (0.2% vs 0.03%), and real imports of other basic precious and non-ferrous metals (0.1% vs 0.03%). Meanwhile, negative performances were observed in the number of housing units approved (-0.2% vs -0.1%) and the number of new companies (-0.1% vs 0.2%). Yearly, the leading index rose by 2.5%, faster than a 1.5% rise in October. Meanwhile, the coincident index, which measures overall current economic performance, was almost stalled at 0.03%, after a 0.6% gain in October.

2024年第四季度，新加坡私人住宅价格环比上涨2.3%，与最初的预测相符，并从第三季度0.7%的下跌中反弹。这是自2023年第三季度以来的最快增长，得益于年底的销售热潮。非土地房产价格稳步加速（第三季度为3.0%对0.1%），核心中部地区/CCR（2.6%对-1.1%）、中部其他地区/RCR（3.0%对0.8%）和中部以外地区/OCR（3.3%对持平）的价格均有所上涨。此外，有地房产价格的跌幅大幅放缓（-0.1%对-3.4%）。2024年全年，该市的私人住宅价格增长速度较慢，为3.9%，而2023年和2022年的涨幅分别为6.8%和8.6%。近年来，新加坡实施了多项措施来控制房地产价格。值得注意的是，大多数外国买家的印花税翻了一番，达到60%。

Private home prices in Singapore rose by 2.3% qoq in Q4 of 2024, matching the initial forecast and bouncing back from a 0.7% fall in Q3. This was the fastest increase since Q3 of 2023, boosted by a rush of sales during the year-end. There was a solid acceleration in prices of non-landed properties (3.0% vs 0.1% in Q3), with rises in the Core Central Region/CCR (2.6% vs -1.1%), the Rest of Central Region/RCR (3.0% vs 0.8%), and Outside Central Region/OCR (3.3% vs flat reading). In addition, a decline in landed property prices softened sharply (-0.1% vs -3.4%). For the full year of 2024, private home prices in the city increased at a slower pace of 3.9%, compared to a rise of 6.8% in 2023 and 8.6% in 2022. Singapore has implemented several measures over recent years to control property prices. Notably, the stamp duty for most foreign buyers was doubled to 60%.