19:02:33
英国 United Kingdom
在本周英国通胀数据和央行会议之前，英国10年期国债收益率保持在3.778%，为2月初以来的最低水平。预计英格兰银行在上个月降息25个基点后将保持利率稳定，尽管期货市场显示，再降息25个百分点的可能性为38%，高于周五的20%。周三公布的通胀数据对英国央行的政策决定至关重要，尤其是在7月份经济意外停滞之后。预计8月份的年通货膨胀率将稳定在2.2%，而核心通货膨胀率预计将升至3.5%。在其他地方，欧洲央行上周降息25个基点，并表示随着通胀放缓和欧元区增长疲软，将进一步降息。与此同时，投资者预计美联储将召开会议，其中降息25个基点的价格已完全消化，对降息50个基点的猜测越来越多。
The UK 10-year gilt yield stayed at 3.778%, its lowest since early February, ahead of this week's UK inflation data and central bank meeting. The Bank of England is expected to hold rates steady following a 25-bps cut last month, though futures markets suggest a 38% chance of an additional 25-bps cut, up from 20% on Friday. Inflation data, due Wednesday, will be crucial for the BoE's policy decision, especially after unexpected economic stagnation in July. The annual inflation rate is projected to hold steady at 2.2% in August, while the core rate is expected to rise to 3.5%. Elsewhere, the ECB cut rates by 25 bps last week and signaled further reductions as inflation slows and eurozone growth weakens. Meanwhile, investors are anticipating the Federal Reserve's meeting, where a 25-bps rate cut is fully priced in, with increasing speculation of a 50-bps move.
