周四,由于美国对巴西商品征收的关税较低,而对中国(54%)、欧盟(20%)和日本(24%)征收的关税较高,Ibovespa指数小幅下跌,收于131141点。虽然10%的广泛关税引发了人们对竞争力的担忧,但巴西的相对优势可能会提高其在农业和大宗商品出口市场的份额。投资者情绪也有所改善,因为预计中国和其他国家的贸易报复可能会将投资转向巴西。然而,不断升级的贸易紧张局势带来了风险,估计将拖累GDP 0.5个百分点。卢拉总统承诺的互惠措施增加了不确定性,尽管市场对巴西的立场反应积极。大型股巴西国家石油公司(-3.5%)、淡水河谷(-3.6%)和苏萨诺(-4.4%)领跌,大宗商品价格疲软,而大多数其他板块上涨。
The Ibovespa pared early losses to close marginally lower at 131,141 on Thursday, supported by milder U.S. tariffs on Brazilian goods compared to steeper levies on China (54%), the EU (20%), and Japan (24%). While the broad 10% tariff raises competitiveness concerns, Brazil's relative advantage could boost its export market share in agriculture and commodities. Investor sentiment also improved on expectations that trade retaliation from China and others may redirect investment to Brazil. However, escalating trade tensions pose risks, with estimates suggesting a 0.5 percentage point drag on GDP. President Lula’s pledge of reciprocal measures adds uncertainty, though markets have reacted positively to Brazil’s positioning. Mega-caps Petrobras (-3.5%), Vale (-3.6%), and Suzano (-4.4%) led declines amid weaker commodity prices, while most other sectors advanced.