美元指数展望：美国大选/美联储政策展望的市场摘要新闻。近期行动范围在厚小时Ichimoku云的底部之上，预计将在趋势线支撑（103.72）和200DMA（103.64）之上保持建设性。

Dollar Index Outlook: Markets Digest News from US Election /Fed Policy Outlook.Near-term action ranging above the base of thick hourly Ichimoku cloud and expected to remain constructive above trendline support (103.72) and 200DMA (103.64).

美元在狂奔后企稳，鲍威尔对政治不屑一顾。周五，美元（USD）在建立支撑后稳定在104.00左右，因为投资者消化了美联储（Fed）周四将其货币政策利率下调25个基点至4.50%-4.75%区间的决定。降息事件完全淡出了人们的视线，有报道急于问，既然当选总统唐纳德·特朗普将于1月入主白宫，美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔是否需要担心自己的工作。

US Dollar steadies after wild ride, with Powell shrugging off politics.The US Dollar (USD) stablizes around the mid-104.00 region on Friday after founding support as investors digest the Federal Reserve's (Fed) decision to lower its monetary policy rate by 25 basis points to the 4.50%-4.75% range on Thursday. The rate cut event completely faded to the background, with reports eager to ask if Fed Chairman Jerome Powell needs to fear for his job now that President-elect Donald Trump will come to the White House in January.

美联储：继续降息25个基点，政治反抗——大华银行集团。美联储在2024年11月6/7日的联邦公开市场委员会（FOMC）会议上一致决定将其联邦基金目标利率（FFTR）的目标区间下调25个基点至4.50-4.75%，符合我们和广泛的市场预期。大华银行集团经济学家Alvin Liew指出，美联储还投票决定将准备金支付利率（IOER）下调25个基点至4.65%，同时保持QT利率不变。

Fed: Staying on rate cut path with 25-bps move and political defiance – UOB Group.The Fed in its 6/7 Nov 2024 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, unanimously decided to reduce the target range of its Fed Funds Target Rate (FFTR) by 25-bps to 4.50-4.75%, in line with our and broad market expectations. The Fed also voted to cut the interest rate paid on reserves (IOER) balances by 25-bps to 4.65% while keeping the pace of QT unchanged, UOB Group's economist Alvin Liew notes.

周五，美国10年期国债收益率跌至4.29%，延续了前一交易日的跌幅，因为投资者在美联储最新决定后评估了利率和经济前景。正如预期的那样，美联储昨日将基准利率下调了25个基点。主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔指出，他既不排除也不承诺在12月再次降息，并表示选举结果不会影响近期的政策决定。因此，市场目前认为12月再降息25个基点的可能性接近71%。交易员现在将把注意力转向特朗普经济计划的最新进展以及下周的CPI和PPI数据发布。周三，在共和党人唐纳德·特朗普在美国总统选举中取得决定性胜利后，基准收益率飙升至4.4%的4个月高点。特朗普的政策，包括提高关税、降低税收和放松管制，预计将刺激增长和通货膨胀。

The yield on the US 10-year Treasury note fell to 4.29% on Friday, extending the decline from the previous session as investors assessed the outlook for interest rates and the economy following the Federal Reserve's latest decision. The Fed cut the benchmark rate by 25 bps yesterday, as expected. Chair Jerome Powell noted he is neither ruling out nor committing to another rate cut in December and stated that the election results will not influence near-term policy decisions. As a result, markets currently see a nearly 71% probability of an additional 25 bps cut in December. Traders will now turn their attention to updates on Trump’s economic plans and next week’s CPI and PPI data releases. On Wednesday, the benchmark yield surged to 4-months high of 4.4% following Republican Donald Trump’s decisive win in the US presidential election. Trump’s policies, including raising tariffs, lowering taxes, and deregulation, are expected to spur growth and inflation.