2024年8月,欧元区的年通货膨胀率从上个月的2.6%降至2.2%,为2021年7月以来的最低水平,与初步估计相符。最大的上涨贡献来自服务价格(4.1%对4%)和食品、酒精和烟草价格(2.3%对2.3%)。此外,非能源工业品的通胀放缓(0.4%对0.7%),能源价格下跌(-3%对+1.2%)。与此同时,核心通胀率从7月份的2.9%略微放缓至2.8%,也与初步估计相符。在欧元区最大的经济体中,德国(2%对2.6%)、法国(2.2%对2.7%)、意大利(1.2%对1.6%)和西班牙(2.4%)的通货膨胀有所缓解。只有拉脱维亚(0.9%对0.8%)、马耳他(2.4%对2.3%)、斯洛伐克(3.2%对3%)和芬兰(1.1%对0.5%)的通货膨胀率上升。欧洲央行预计2024年的平均通胀率为2.5%,2025年为2.2%,2026年为1.9%。今年的核心通胀率预计为2.9%,2025年为2.3%,2026年为2.0%。
Annual inflation rate in the Eurozone eased to 2.2% in August 2024, the lowest since July 2021, from 2.6% in the previous month, and matching the preliminary estimate. The biggest upward contribution came from prices of services (4.1% vs 4%) and food, alcohol & tobacco (2.3% vs 2.3%). In addition, inflation slowed for non-energy industrial goods (0.4% vs 0.7%) and prices fell for energy (-3% vs +1.2%). Meanwhile, core inflation rate slowed slightly to 2.8% from 2.9% in July, also matching the initial estimate. Among the largest economies in the Euro Area, inflation eased in Germany (2% vs 2.6%), France (2.2% vs 2.7%), Italy (1.2% vs 1.6%) and Spain (2.4%). Only Latvia (0.9% vs 0.8%), Malta (2.4% vs 2.3%), Slovakia (3.2% vs 3%), and Finland (1.1% vs 0.5%) saw inflation rates increase. The ECB sees inflation averaging 2.5% in 2024, 2.2% in 2025 and 1.9% in 2026. Core inflation rate is seen at 2.9% this year, 2.3% in 2025 and 2.0% in 2026.