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Beijing: China, Asia's largest economy, might face credit losses of up to a whopping USD three trillion, an American investment banking firm has warned as the Chinese government ordered an audit of the public debt.
In its report, Goldman Sachs group said that the rapid pace of China's credit expansion, increasingly sourced from the inherently more risky and less transparent "shadow banking" sector, has become a top concern for global markets.
"Our Asian economists and strategists recently published a comprehensive look at this concern and its implications for economic growth and asset performance in China, calculating that an extreme upper-bound for total China credit losses could amount to 18.6 trillion yuan," the report said.
The losses could amount to 18.6 trillion yuan (USD three trillion), as the speed of its credit expansion has exceeded that seen prior to other credit crises in history, report further clarified.
But actual credit losses are likely to be significantly lower than these worst-case figures, emerge gradually and be partially absorbed by bank earnings or other avenues, it said.
The warning came as the Chinese government, weighed down by mounting debt, last month ordered a nationwide assessment of local government liabilities to address the concerns about rising debt from over-ambitious development projects that is eventually threatening the financial stability of the world's largest economy.
The Goldman Sachs said commodity demand and prices, emerging market economic growth and asset performance would be most at risk from any fallout from China, while some United States assets, especially US domestic-facing equities, rates and the dollar could potentially rise.
Helen Zhu, Goldman Sachs' chief China equity strategist, said parts of the corporate sector are the greatest source of credit risk, especially sectors with excess capacity, along with local government financing, while the unintended consequences of intentional policy tightening could cause things to go bad.
PTI
韬客社区www.talkfx.co
发表于:2013-08-25 00:18只看该作者
4楼
什么情况这是。
发表于:2013-08-25 00:52只看该作者
5楼
这是真正损失的,还是变相的转移啊!卧槽,我们怎么会在这么一个国度里啊!
没有失败,只有放弃。没有错过,只有忘记。
睡觉万岁!
发表于:2013-08-25 03:21只看该作者
6楼
高盛的话别完全信。。。
发表于:2013-08-25 03:47只看该作者
7楼
返指啊......................
韬客社区www.talkfx.co
发表于:2013-08-25 11:21只看该作者
9楼
配合做空天朝股市?下一招难道是降低信用评级??
酒一口一口喝,路一步一步走。步子大了,咔~,容易扯成散黄蛋。
发表于:2013-08-26 05:08只看该作者
10楼
他们总是把债转移到13亿人头上,这样就不显得多了
韬客社区www.talkfx.co
发表于:2013-08-26 05:10只看该作者
11楼
发表于:2013-08-26 08:27只看该作者
12楼
韬客社区www.talkfx.co
13楼
这个臭蛋早已经是全世界的共识了,肯定要盯
韬客社区www.talkfx.co