小仓空单昨晚已损，现在的走势美元成总体态势，看不出分化，美日今日跟着欧美摇摆，趋势不明，今日还是拿着欧美底单等明日做可能的突破了。

熊猫，记得以前你美日长线看79，现在还是这么看吗？

楼主的欧美图成立的前提是美日已反转。

还记着这当子事儿啊，这个问题困扰了我很久，过去是把波浪理论过分神化了，它能反映市场情绪，但绝不可作为预测方式。这半年实实在在地学了些经济学的皮毛，回头看那张美日月线的大图，看着实在有些可笑。dailyfx的波浪分析师目前仍在为这波美日的大4浪correction何日结束而苦恼，我想我们还是先将其“忘却”，做汇，还是应当一个波段一个波段的来吧。

正是此意:handshake

*DJ US Rep Unveils Law To Cut Speculation Creating Artificial Prices *DJ US Rep: Oil Mkt Manipulation Currently Allowed By Law *DJ US Rep Stupak:Goldman Sachs,Morgan Stanley Biggest Oil Traders DJ News Wire上的更新 看到GS和Morgan我就一肚子火，叫嚷着石油到14X和15X，等着让人来接中期的最后一棒。关注最近关于石油期货交易调查的动向，石油从135到121后，暂时进入盘整，再次向下突破时，美元又可以有大动向。

欧今天能打到156以上的话，还是有变数。

向高手学习

Bloomberg Survey ================================================================ Nonfarm Unemploy Manu Payrolls Rate Payrolls ,000's % ,000's ================================================================ Date of Release 06/06 06/06 06/06 Observation Period May May May ---------------------------------------------------------------- Median -60 5.1% -40 Average -58 5.1% -40 High Forecast -10 5.2% -10 Low Forecast -150 4.9% -55 Number of Participants 79 78 19 Previous -20 5.0% -46 ---------------------------------------------------------------- 4CAST Ltd. -60 5.1% --- Action Economics -60 5.1% -40 AIG Investments -10 5.1% --- Aletti Gestielle SGR -50 5.1% -50 Allianz Dresdner Economic -60 5.2% --- Argus Research Corp. --- 4.9% --- Banc of America Securitie -40 5.2% --- Bank of Tokyo- Mitsubishi -52 5.1% --- Bantleon Bank AG -60 5.2% --- Barclays Capital -50 5.1% --- BMO Capital Markets -40 5.1% --- BNP Paribas -10 5.1% --- Briefing.com -50 5.1% --- Calyon -25 5.1% --- CFC Group -25 5.0% --- CIBC World Markets -75 5.1% --- Citi -65 5.2% --- ClearView Economics -50 5.2% -35 Commerzbank AG -70 5.1% -10 Credit Suisse -10 5.1% --- Daiwa Securities America -60 5.2% --- Danske Bank -85 5.2% --- DekaBank -10 5.1% --- Desjardins Group -90 5.2% --- Deutsche Bank Securities -65 5.2% --- Deutsche Postbank AG -40 5.1% --- Dresdner Kleinwort -125 5.2% -55 DZ Bank -60 5.1% --- First Trust Advisors -65 5.1% -45 Fortis -60 5.1% --- FTN Financial -60 5.1% --- Global Insight Inc. -85 5.2% --- Goldman, Sachs & Co. -50 5.1% --- H&R Block Financial Advis -40 5.1% -28 Helaba -50 5.1% --- High Frequency Economics -100 5.2% --- Horizon Investments -45 5.1% --- HSBC Markets -80 5.2% --- IDEAglobal -75 5.1% -45 Informa Global Markets -70 5.1% -55 ING Financial Markets -150 5.2% --- Insight Economics -60 5.2% --- Intesa-SanPaulo -50 5.1% --- J.P. Morgan Chase -50 5.1% --- Janney Montgomery Scott L -47 5.1% --- JPMorgan Private Client -45 5.1% -40 Landesbank Berlin -45 5.1% --- Landesbank BW -65 5.1% --- Lehman Brothers -65 5.1% --- Lloyds TSB -45 5.1% -30 Maria Fiorini Ramirez Inc -60 5.1% --- Merk Investments -65 5.1% --- Merrill Lynch -70 5.1% --- Moody's Economy.com -70 5.2% -45 Morgan Keegan & Co. -72 5.1% --- Morgan Stanley & Co. -65 5.1% --- National Bank Financial -70 5.2% --- National City Corporation -38 5.0% --- Natixis -70 5.1% --- Newedge -40 5.0% --- Nomura Securities Intl. -45 5.2% -42 Nord/LB -40 5.2% -55 PNC Bank -35 --- -25 RBS Greenwich Capital -50 5.1% -40 Ried, Thunberg & Co. -50 5.1% --- Schneider Trading Associa -38 5.2% -40 Scotia Capital -70 5.1% --- Skandia -50 --- --- Societe Generale -50 5.1% --- Stone & McCarthy Research -70 5.0% -50 TD Securities -100 5.2% --- Thomson Financial/IFR -70 5.2% --- UBS Securities LLC -75 5.2% --- Unicredit MIB -50 5.1% --- University of Maryland -50 5.1% -30 Wachovia Corp. -55 5.1% --- Wells Fargo & Co. -60 5.1% --- WestLB AG -70 5.1% --- Westpac Banking Co. -100 5.2% --- Wrightson Associates -50 5.1% ---

欧美突破单: Buy : 1.5635 Stop : 1.5565 Limit : /

美日突破单 Buy: 107.10 Stop: 106.7 Sell: 105.45 Stop: 106.10

Saxo的帐户准确在1.5635成交，需平保，FXCM滑点至了1.5677，无奈了，以后再也不用它做大事件了。 美日的单很幸运，差5点没有入场，这波刺头极有可能是假突破，仍要接近一次107再落下。

上本周最后两张云图 EURUSD Daily 日图云层上方在1.5724，重要阻力，关注本周收盘价格。 USDJPY 1hr 非农的刺头只是在云层里露了个脸，下方买盘仍很强大，目前看是楼顶A浪的终端5浪走法，4浪与1浪有部分重合，关注下周107下方的走势。 本周做得不温不火，帖子也不热，下周再战。各位好运。USDJPY.GIFEURUSD.GIF

刚才买单止损在10545，还好:L

哈哈，彩虹价位和我测得一样，赞！ 不过今日石油在狂飙，美日很矛盾，所有非农突破单已撤，欧元滑点单也平价离场，只剩2%欧美在105.35， 关注美日云层里的发展了。

美股上班了，美日开始！！！！！！！！！！！！！！！！！！！

1.5736平仓，100pips够了，空仓去Las Vegas过周末，下周三回来更新。:)